Not every redevelopment story begins with a clear answer.

This is not an argument for or against the project — it is simply a look at how the numbers and structure work based on what was presented, particularly when a polished presentation raises more questions the longer you sit with it.

That was the case at last night’s discussion surrounding the proposed redevelopment of Noland Fashion Square.

On the surface, the proposal is compelling.

A declining shopping center would be revitalized. A major grocery anchor tenant — Price Chopper — would serve as the cornerstone of the redevelopment, intended to draw consistent daily traffic to the site. New storefronts would be added. The property would be modernized and positioned to serve the community for decades.

The visuals were strong. The message was clear.

But as with any large public-private project, the real story is not in the renderings.

It’s in the structure.

What Was Presented

The developer outlined a roughly $100 million redevelopment plan.

Without public incentives, the project produces an estimated return of about 3.7% — not enough to justify private investment.

With incentives, that return increases to approximately 10.7% — making the project financially viable.

That gap is the key to understanding everything that follows.

Because that gap is not filled by the developer.

It is filled by the structure of the deal.

How These Projects Actually Work

The proposal includes multiple layers of public financing tools:

  • Tax Increment Financing (TIF)

  • Community Improvement District (CID)

  • Transportation Development District (TDD)

  • Chapter 100 incentives

Each of these tools functions differently, but together they create a system where a significant portion of future tax revenue generated by the project does not immediately go to the city’s general fund.

Instead, it is redirected.

In simple terms:

  • TIF captures new sales and property tax growth and uses it to pay back project costs.

  • CID and TDD add additional taxes paid by shoppers at the site.

  • Chapter 100 can reduce or eliminate certain taxes through a lease structure involving the city.

In practical terms, a Chapter 100 arrangement typically means the city temporarily takes ownership of the property and leases it back to the developer. Because the property is technically publicly owned during that period, certain taxes — especially on improvements and materials — can be reduced or abated. This is often presented as a way to make projects financially feasible, but it also means some tax revenue that would otherwise be collected is deferred or reduced during the incentive period.

This means that when the project is built and operating, the visible activity — full parking lots, busy storefronts, increased traffic — does not translate directly into immediate revenue for the city in the way many people might assume.

Who Is Actually Paying?

Even when the city is not directly backing bonds or writing checks, the funding still comes from somewhere.

In this case, a large portion comes from:

  • Shoppers paying additional CID or TDD taxes

  • Future tax revenues that are redirected through TIF

So while the city may not be issuing a direct payment, the project is still being supported by public dollars — just through a different mechanism.

The Revenue Reality

According to the numbers presented:

  • If the site remains as-is, the city could face an estimated $420,000 annual loss over time based on projected underutilization and overall inactivity across portions of the site. This appears to be a forward-looking scenario rather than a confirmed current-year loss.

  • Discussion also indicated a long-term commitment tied to the grocery anchor (Price Chopper — approximately 20 years), which may provide near-term stability for the site. At the same time, materials and discussion referenced the possibility of changes in ownership or operation of the store, meaning the commitment is better understood as continuity of a grocery anchor use rather than a guarantee tied to a specific operator.

  • This suggests that the projected loss is not necessarily tied to an immediate departure of the anchor tenant, but rather to a broader assumption that portions of the site may remain underutilized over time if not revitalized.

  • With redevelopment, the city projects a net gain of approximately $120,000 per year during the incentive period.

The redevelopment concept further assumes that portions of the site — particularly the former Toys ā€œRā€ Us side — could reach a significant level of occupancy (discussed around 80%) within an estimated 18-month timeframe. This assumption plays a key role in whether projected revenues are ultimately realized.

That is a meaningful shift — but it is not a windfall.

It is a stabilization.

And it comes with conditions.

When Does the City Actually Benefit?

This is the question that deserves the most attention.

During the incentive period — which can extend for approximately 20 years or more depending on how the financing tools are structured — much of the new revenue generated by the site is used to pay back the redevelopment costs. Tools such as Tax Increment Financing (TIF) alone can extend up to 23 years under Missouri law, with other districts potentially operating alongside that timeframe.

That means:

  • Sales taxes are partially captured

  • Property taxes may be reduced

  • Special district revenues are restricted to project-related use

The full financial benefit to the city typically does not occur until after those obligations are satisfied.

Only then does the project begin to function as a more traditional revenue-generating asset for the city.

In other words, the potential long-term benefit may not be fully realized for many years — and only if the assumptions presented hold true over time.

What Needs to Be Considered

There are several variables that will determine whether this project delivers long-term value:

  • Occupancy levels — whether tenants fill and remain in the space

  • Performance of the anchor tenant — particularly Price Chopper

  • Consumer behavior — whether spending is new or simply shifted from other parts of the city

  • Long-term maintenance and reinvestment

These are not guarantees. They are assumptions.

A Thoughtful Pause

None of this is to suggest a position on whether the project should move forward.

It simply highlights that projects of this scale are built on projections — and like any projection, they depend on multiple factors aligning over time.

In the long term, it is possible that a redevelopment like this could provide meaningful benefit to the city. But as with any investment, there are no guarantees.

At the same time, doing nothing carries its own risk. Based on the numbers presented, the estimated $420,000 annual impact reflects a modeled long-term decline scenario in overall site performance. This projection appears to assume broader deterioration of the property over time, rather than conditions tied to the current anchor tenant’s near-term presence.

Understanding both sides of that equation is important.

The goal here is not to support or oppose the project, but to encourage residents to review the information, ask questions, and come to their own understanding of how these decisions may affect the city — both now and in the years ahead.

Because the difference between a successful redevelopment and a costly misstep is often found not in the presentation…

…but in the details.

Want to See the Details for Yourself?

If you want to review exactly what was presented — not just summaries — you can access the official city documents directly.

The redevelopment details discussed above are tied to the September 22, 2025 City Council agenda packet and the presentation from last night.

Then follow these steps:

  1. Click Council Agendas & Minutes

  2. Navigate to September 22, 2025

  3. Download the Full Agenda Packet

If you are looking for the specific section related to Noland Square, you can begin reviewing approximately:

  • Pages 250–300 (development overview and scope)

  • Pages 300–350 (financial projections and return analysis)

  • Pages 350+ (incentive structure including TIF, CID, TDD, and Chapter 100 discussion)

Page numbers may vary slightly depending on the version of the packet, but those ranges will take you directly to the core of the redevelopment discussion.

Taking a few minutes to review the source material yourself can provide important context — especially when evaluating long-term financial impacts and how public funding tools are being used.

Because in the end, the most important conclusions are the ones you arrive at after seeing the details firsthand.

Upcoming Council Consideration

For those who wish to observe the process as it moves forward, the first reading related to this redevelopment is scheduled for:

šŸ“ City Council Meeting Details

Due to the swearing-in of new council members, location is updated to:

Date: April 20, 2026
Time: 6:00 PM
Location: Mid-Continent Public Library – Midwest Genealogy Center
3440 S Lee’s Summit Rd
Independence, MO 64055

Agendas are subject to change, so reviewing the posted agenda in advance is recommended.

If you are unable to attend in person, meetings are also streamed live and archived on the City’s official YouTube channel:
šŸ‘‰ https://www.youtube.com/@IndependenceMissouri

This allows you to watch the discussion and review the conversation as it happens or afterward.

If this kind of reporting matters to you, stay engaged, ask questions, and take the time to understand how these decisions shape the future of our city.

The Independence Standard
Truth. Clarity. Accountability. Faith in Action.

šŸ‘‰ Have a story or tip? Email us at [email protected]. We can’t promise everything will make it in—but we’re always open to hearing what’s happening.

Coming Soon to The Independence Standard

šŸ•Šļø A Quiet Reflection with Cheri Battrick

We spend a lot of time talking about policies, projects, and elections.

But a community is more than that.

It’s also about faith, perspective, and the values that guide us.

Cheri Battrick is a faith-based writer who shares reflections on personal growth, life experiences, and the role faith plays in shaping both.

Soon, we’ll be introducing a new column that speaks to that.

More to come.

šŸ›ļø Foundations of Independence

Author to be announced

There’s a story behind Independence that didn’t start yesterday.

Long before the current debates and decisions, there were moments that helped define what Independence would become.

Soon, we’ll be introducing a new series focused on that history—where this community has been, what it’s experienced, and what we can learn from it.

Because understanding the past can bring clarity to what’s in front of us now.

Written by a contributing author, this series draws from historical research and documented records to provide context, insight, and a deeper look at the foundation of Independence.

More on this soon.

Until next time,

ā

Truth. Clarity. Accountability. Faith in Action.

The Independence Standard

The Independence Standard is a locally focused publication committed to truth, clarity, and accountability.

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